I am not against paying a superstar QB, in a general sense, precisely because the past 20 SB's have been overwhelmingly won by superstar QBs. The trick is - how much do you pay a superstar QB and still have sufficient cap resources to build the rest of the team around him. In the past 20 years, the average winning QB of the Super Bowl consumed 6.6% of his team's cap space in the year they won
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I would be absolutely thrilled if we won a SB with Tua on his rookie contract and had to face the difficult decision of whether and how to keep him beyond the rookie contract. My best guess is that the Mahomes contract will stand for a relatively long time as unique because: - I think he's unquestionably the single best QB in the league for now...no one is really all that close - the effec
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It seems that the negotiated salary cap "floor" for 2021 will be $175 million. While I don't know what that means in terms of what the actual cap will be I would suspect it won't increase, as was previously supposed, to about $210 million. If true, it looks like we have: - about $165 million committed in 2021 to the top 51 player salaries for that year - about $18.7 million in u
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I don't think I'd be heartbroken if he doesn't play at all this year, as that approach certainly seems to have worked for Mahomes recently. I think I inadvertently strayed from my main point of definitely not wanting him to play in 2020 behind an awful OL. Much like I was leading up to the draft with him (not that my opinion matters to anyone official) I'm very open to seeing how things play
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OL is really the #1 thing I'm hoping proves out over the first 1/2 of the season. As bad as it was last year, I'm hoping that it could be graded as top 20 by the mid-point and top half by the end of the year. Truthfully, I think we have the talent (much of it raw) for it to be top 10 by the end of the year...but I don't hold out a lot of hope that in this very different year we'll see the talen
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My question is whether this represents the new norm for QBs who are generally regarded as elite, or if this is a reflection of Mahomes being THE elite QB of this time with no one else even having valid claim to be in the same stratosphere. The Chiefs have allocated about 25% of the current cap to Mahomes with the very real possibility of the cap going down next year. I can't remember where I
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May God rest his soul.
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For all of my "performance meets economics" theorizing, I really just hope it's the 2nd coming of Madison, Surtain & crew.
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I've always thought that the pass rush/pass defense were symbiotically related and traditionally the notion has been that pass defenders benefit more from a good pass rush than vice versa. I think that Pats (at least over the past few seasons) have used coverage to benefit their pass rush more (i.e. somewhat flipped the script). I really think they squeezed more juice from their pass rush than
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Overthecap is one of the sites I think provides good information and analysis. They've evolved beyond reporting purely financial/contract information to linking it with performance which I've found helpful. At any rate, a last Fall, they had a piece on how the CB pay scale had essentially stagnated relative to the growth in the cap overall. This month they had an article regarding whether te
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God rest his soul.
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I think the trade might have been as much for the cap savings that came with it vs. release as it was for the 7th rounder itself. Not good with TJ Watt sitting there in that draft.
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Correct - would not wish injury on anyone and definitely didn't meant to even come close to implying it with what I typed. Was more just noting how much they, possibly more than any team I can think of, rely on a single player for so much of their success. May they find their way, somehow, to a very unsuccessful season, though :-)
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If it were my decision, I would be very cautious in offering up a 2021 1st rounder for something in this year's draft. If we meet the oddsmakers' expectations for 6 wins this year, we'd likely be drafting somewhere in the 8-10 range and if the Texans meet current odds (8 wins), their 1st round pick would be in the 11-21 range (looking at 2020 draft order for teams finishing between 7-9 and 9-7).
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I'm actually a combination of "Yes, absolutely" and "Well - I did, but I'm concerned". I lean strongly toward taking chances on greatness and that, for me in this case's particulars, outweighs my concern...but it doesn't delegitimize the concern. I think that the NFL puts a significant emphasis on protecting QBs from injury and I'm hoping that Tua can learn how to minimize h
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So, I’ve reached a point where – absent a Tunsil gas-mask bong event – in my opinion, there’s really no more new data that can possibly inform an opinion on Tua. Here’s where I am and why: I want the Phins to draft him at #5 or move up to #3 if necessary and at a reasonable cost (not much more than our #39 pick…definitely not any 1st rounders this year or next). My overriding reason
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I'm seeing an over/under of 6 wins for us in 2020 according to odds posted on ESPN (not my go-to source, but a top google search result). 2 wins seems WELL below what ought to be anticipated...both stunning & amusing, as noted above.
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If those are the two options, I strongly prefer the 2nd option and would not want to offer "the better of the two". There's not a ton of difference, IMO, between #26 and #33. As things stand right now, I think there's a decent chance that the Texans have a pretty disappointing (for them) 2020 season. And, they're a Deshon Watson injury away from competing for one of the very top pi
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To clarify: - in the 1st scenario, which 2021 did you have in mind? Ours or the Texans? 1st round or 2nd round? - in the 2nd scenario, you're saying #5, #18, #26 for #1 and #33 Correct?
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As I've heard about and even thought through the possibility of the Phins trading picks, I think they should be very hesitant to trade the 2021 picks we got from the Texans. O'Brien has shown to be a good coach, and they have talent (though not as much as they had when Hopkins was on the team). But, the moves he's making and especially what it being rumored to be the reasoning (personality conf
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That wouldn't shock me...nor would it shock me if Belichick is cooking up some plan to get Trevor Lawrence next year since he's supposedly touted to be the next "can't miss" QB prospect a la Luck, Manning, Elway.
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Interesting because he also tweeted Belichick notes from 1991 regarding, among other things, what he looks for in a quarterback. From what I understand, Herbert is sort of the polar opposite of what Belichick documented. Certainly the game has changed in the past 30 years, and Belichick's perspective may have changed accordingly. Given the success he's had over the past 20 years with a QB that
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I agree, but the operative word, in my mind, is "drafted" - which I assume to mean if we had drafted him in 2012 onto our same team we had then. Sadly, for the past 20 years, our franchise has been one that gets less out of players than they ought to...whether its players we draft and should develop, or overpaying for FAs and having their production dip from what we saw previously and,
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From my perspective, what they've done so far this offseason has been relatively predictable (again, relatively, given how unpredictable things can be in NFL FA). I think I've tried to look at it through the lens of what they might do if they were trying to build using the Patriots as the model. Given that, I think they'll prioritize taking a chance on greatness over the perceived safety of mor
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As I re-look through the moves and try to project the 2020 starting lineups on both sides, I did a quick look back at how the season went from starting 0-7 to finishing 5-4 in the last 9 games. Certainly there were a number of factors in the improvement, but one is that we averaged allowing 160 YPG rushing in the first 7 games and improved to 116 over the last 9 (coincidentally, just about the l
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I like a lot of what we've done so far... - Overall, I can see a plan that seems to make sense. I'm not claiming it will necessarily work or that every move will be a home run, but the moves seem to fit within a viable master plan. - In general, it seems like younger & less proven get shorter, mid-range (yes, can't believe $10 mill/yr seems to = mid-range) deals, like Flowers, Shaq w
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It's funny that I've actually also felt less strongly about, to be pretty specific, picking Tua with our first 1st round pick. Prior to his injury, I was pretty convinced he should be our guy and was fretting a bit over how wins could make it more difficult for us to get him. Even post-injury, I've mentally debated whether - if the team has a true conviction about him being "the guy"
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Definitely with you - super tough to get to the truth of who someone really is in the job interview process. Saban - the gift that just keeps givin'
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I can definitely see ex-Phins from the Gase/Philbin era saying the org was toxic. But, I haven't seen evidence of toxicity under Flores. Minkah, in my opinion, is a complete fraud. Billed as a team-first, do whatever needs to be done guy...turned out to be a me-first, do what puts me in position to get paid guy. I thought it was epic that his mommy chimed in on social media - classic millenn
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I honestly haven't landed on a specific position regarding how I think they ought to use their 1st pick in this year's draft. Your reference of the 1990 Cowboys brings a couple of thoughts to mind, though. 1. it was preceded in 1989 by the selection of both Aikman #1 overall and Walsh in the supplemental draft (which cost them the #1 overall pick in 1990). They clearly valued the QB position
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