Re: Schottenheimer
Date: January 14, 2012 02:34AM
>
> That projects to between a 9-7 and a 10-6 average
> record per season. Almost every division champ
> has to at least go 11-5.
Jon Gruden had a career .540 winning percentage, which translates to between 8-8 and 9-7 on average.
Bill Cowher had a .623 winning percentage, which translates to almost exactly 10-6 every year.
Even Bill Belichik only wins on average just over 10 games per year (.643 winning percentage). Bill Walsh was even worse at .609.
By this rationale, none of these coaches are/were good enough since they didn't average at least 11 wins per year.
The important thing isn't that they win at least 11 games every year. Even the best coaches will have the occasional 9-7 or even (gasp) 8-8 season, which brings the average down.
Schottenheimer took over 3 bad teams (the Brown, Chiefs, and Chargers) and was able to build each of them into a playoff team within the first 3 years there. His last year with the Chargers they went 14-2 only to lose in the playoffs.
I wouldn't be opposed to bringing him in. He's not a long term solution being 68 years old, but I think he would be able to turn the team around and bring respectability to it. After 3 or 4 years, thank him for his services and bring in another younger coach to get the team over the final hump, like Tampa Bay did when they replaced Dungy with Gruden, and Indy did when they replace Mora with Dungy.