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GAME TIME: 1:00 PM EDT on Sunday, Oct 12th. The game will be broadcast
regionally on CBS.
PLACE: ALLTEL Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
WEATHER FORECAST: Partly cloudy, high around 81 degrees F. No rain is
in the forecast.
FIELD CONDITIONS: ALLTEL Stadium has a grass surface and despite a
little rain in the forecast for Saturday, should be in fine shape.
STANDINGS & STATS: The Dolphins are 3-1 and alone in first place in
the AFC East. The Jags are 1-4 and are last in the AFC South.
Dolphins Pts/Game Jaguars Pts/Game
Scored 20.3 Scored 20.0
Allowed 12.0 Allowed 26.0
Dolphins Yds/Game Rank Jaguars Yds/Game Rank
Total Offense: 319 17 Total Defense: 317 15
Rushing: 143 6 vs Rush: 83 6
Passing: 176 28 vs Pass: 234 27
Jaguars Dolphins
Total Offense: 332 13 Total Defense: 312 13
Rushing: 105 18 vs Rush: 66 3
Passing: 227 11 vs Pass: 246 30
Sacks Made (Avg/G) Allowed (Avg/G)
Dolphins 6 1.5 6 1.5
Jaguars 10 2.0 12 2.4
Turnover differential:
Dolphins 0
Jaguars +1
Individual Skill Position Stats:
Dolphins
QB: QB Fiedler: 61-105-738-5-4-79.8
Rush: RB Williams: 115-386-3.4-3
Rush: RB Minor: 6-30-5.0-0
Rec: WR Chambers: 19-279-14.7-3
Rec: RB Williams: 14-113-8.1-1
Rec: TE McMichael: 10-151-15.1-1
Jaguars
QB: QB Leftwich: 47-77-691-5-3-95.8
Rush: RB Taylor: 99-422-4.3-2
Rush: RB Toefield: 12-30-2.5-0
Rec: RB Taylor: 20-176-8.8-1
Rec: FB Edwards: 15-106-7.1-0
Rec: WR Hatchette: 13-187-14.4-2
Legend
QBs: completions-attempts-yards-touchdowns-ints-rating
Rush: rushes-yards-average-touchdowns
Rec: receptions-yards-average-touchdowns
HISTORY: The Dolphins and Jaguars have only faced each other 1 time in
the regular season and once in the playoffs. The last regular season
meeting was on Oct. 12, 1998, which the Dolphins lost 28-21. Jay
Fiedler has never started against the Jaguars and Byron Leftwich has
never started against the Dolphins. And, of course, Dave Wannstedt
has never faced Jack Del Rio as a head coach.
INJURIES:
Dolphins:
OUT: OL Mark Dixon (ankle)
QUESTIONABLE: DT Tim Bowens (Hand)
C Tim Ruddy (Knee)
LB Junior Seau (Hamstring)
FS Shawn Wooden (Ankle)
PROBABLE: LB Brendon Ayanbadejo (Abdomen)
QB Jay Fiedler (Toe)
FB Rob Konrad (Knee)
FS Brock Marion (Ankle)
G Jamie Nails (Shoulder)
T Wade Smith (Elbow)
DE Jason Taylor (Quadricep)
Jaguars:
OUT: LB Eric Westmoreland (Knee)
DOUBTFUL: CB Kiwaukee Thomas (Groin)
QUESTIONABLE: QB Mark Brunell (Elbow)
CB Jason Craft (Groin)
LB Mike Peterson (Ribs)
PROBABLE: CB James Trapp (Ankle)
DOLPHINS STARTERS:
Offense: Defense:
QB - 9 Jay Fiedler RDE - 99 Jason Taylor
RB - 34 Ricky Williams RDT - 64 Larry Chester
FB - 44 Rob Konrad LDT - 95 Tim Bowens
WR - 84 Chris Chambers LDE - 93 Adewale Ogunleye
WR - 88 Derrius Thompson SLB - 52 Morlon Greenwood
TE - 81 Randy McMichael MLB - 54 Zach Thomas
LT - 74 Wade Smith WLB - 51 Tommy Hendricks
LG - 66 Jamie Nails LCB - 23 Patrick Surtain
C - 61 Tim Ruddy RCB - 29 Sam Madison
RG - 75 Todd Perry SS - 24 Sammy Knight
RT - 71 Todd Wade FS - 31 Brock Marion
K - 10 Olindo Mare' P - 1 Matt Turk
PR - 32 Charlie Rogers KR - 32 Charlie Rogers
NOTES: It looks like Junior Seau will not start on Sunday. If he
doesn't, then Tommy Hendricks will take his place, even though Corey
Jenkins is officially the backup on the depth chart. Tim Ruddy will
be back, but will still rotate with Seth McKinney. And if Tim Bowens
can't play, then Jeff Zgonina will get the start.
Jaguars STARTERS:
Offense: Defense:
QB - 7 Byron Leftwich RDE - 58 Hugh Douglas
RB - 28 Fred Taylor RDT - 98 John Henderson
FB - 44 Marc Edwards LDT - 99 Marcus Stroud
WR - 82 Jimmy Smith LDE - 90 Tony Brackens
WR - 8 Matthew Hatchette SLB - 51 Akin Ayodele
TE - 80 Kyle Brady MLB - 54 Mike Peterson
LT - 72 Mike Pearson WLB - 53 TJ Slaughter
LG - 64 Vince Manuwai LCB - 25 Fernando Bryant
C - 63 Brad Meester RCB - 29 Jason Craft
RG - 65 Chris Naeole SS - 20 Donovin Darius
RT - 74 Maurice Williams FS - 27 Rashean Mathis
K - 6 Seth Marler P - 3 Mark Royals
KR - 34 David Allen PR - 34 David Allen
NOTES: Mike Peterson is listed as questionable, but practiced on
Friday and should start.
KEY MATCHUPS:
- Dolphins vs Themselves: This is a game that could catch the
Dolphins napping. While Jacksonville is not a terrific team, they're
good enough to beat the Dolphins if Miami overlooks them.
- Dolphins' Blocking vs Jags Defense: The Jaguars have an
average defense, but have been good at stopping the run. The
Dolphins' run blocking must improve if Ricky is going to start having
more success.
- Jimmy Smith vs Madison and Surtain: Smith had a great game
last week - against possibly the worst team in the league right now.
Madison and Surtain must be at the top of their game against Smith.
- Fred Taylor vs Dolphins' LBs: Taylor has been most of the
Jags offense this year. The Dolphins must contain him to slow down
Jacksonville.
PLAYERS TO WATCH:
For the Dolphins, it was the interior offensive line that had
the most problems with the Giants' defensive line last week. They'll
need to play better this week if Miami hopes to get its running game
going. Chris Chambers also needs to have a better game, but it was
Rob Konrad, Randy McMichael and James McKnight who had the most impact
for the Dolphins on offense last week.
And it goes without saying - but I'm going to say it anyway -
that Jay Fiedler will be under the microscope again this week.
On defense, Madison and Surtain will have Jimmy Smith to
cover, while the linebackers will have to deal with Fred Taylor.
Tommy Hendricks will be making the second start of his career and his
first at outside linebacker. He has the opportunity here to make a
serious statement about his future or to show that he can't handle
starting in the NFL. Undoubtedly, the Jaguars will attack him to see
if he can handle it.
On special teams, Charlie Rogers finally had one exceptional
kick return last week. He'll have a chance to do it again this week.
On offense, the Jaguars' Byron Leftwich is a rookie who had a
great game last week against a poor - make that very poor - defense.
He'll have a much tougher test this week against the Dolphins. Fred
Taylor has been the leading weapon on offense for the Jags this year,
leading the team in rushing and in number of receptions. But WR Jimmy
Smith came back from suspension last week and had a big game.
The Jaguars' defense has Tony Brackens and Hugh Douglas at the
ends, but Douglas has yet to live up to the expectations placed on
him. Mike Peterson anchors the middle, but strongside linebacker Akin
Ayodele leads the team in tackles and has an interception to his
credit.
MY ANALYSIS:
The Dolphins come into this game having won two tough games in
a row against two of the better teams in the league. In two weeks,
they face the Patriots in an important division game. The Jaguars are
only a 1-4 team and the only team they've beaten is the Chargers.
It's a classic trap game.
The Jaguars, for their part, are 1-4, but 3 of the 4 losses
were to Carolina, Indianapolis and Buffalo, back when Buffalo still
looked like a powerhouse. Fred Taylor is one of the better running
backs in the league and Jimmy Smith is an outstanding wide receiver.
On defense, the Jaguars are ranked 6th in the league against
the run, which puts their strength against the strength of the
Dolphins.
In other words, the Jaguars are probably a more talented team
than their record would indicate.
On offense, the Dolphins will probably use a gameplan similar
to the one that they used against the Giants. They will run Ricky to
set up the play action pass and they'll count on the Jaguars doing
everything they can to stop Ricky. Then they'll hit them with the
reverse or the pass to McMichael or Konrad.
The Jaguars defensive line is not as dominating as the
Giants', however, so hopefully Miami will have better luck this week
running Ricky and give Jay Fiedler more time to get the ball down the
field.
The key for the Dolphins is to hold on to the football on
offense and just keep doing what they've been doing. I believe
they'll have more success running the ball this week and will protect
Jay Fiedler better, resulting in more success passing to Chambers.
The biggest danger for the Dolphins' offense is turnovers.
So I think Miami will move the ball on the Jaguars.
When the Jaguars have the ball, the situation is not as clear
because we don't know yet if Byron Leftwich is the real deal.
Leftwich lit up the field against the Chargers last week in his first
start, but the Chargers are one of the worst teams in the league.
Leftwich will face a much tougher test this week against the
Dolphins' defense. While Fred Taylor is their main weapon, the
Dolphins are playing very well against the run this season and
Leftwich is going to have to pass to put points on the board.
When he does pass, he'll see very tight coverage from the
Dolphins and some very experienced and talented defenders. He'll also
see mixed coverages as the Dolphins get better at integrating the zone
defense into their gameplan. In the last 2 games, the Dolphins have
picked off 6 passes from opponents and Leftwich, however talented he
may be, is still a rookie. Miami should be able to get him to make
enough mistakes to take away a few passes.
The biggest question mark for the Miami defense is going to be
Tommy Hendricks, who will start in place of Junior Seau at weakside
linebacker. Hendricks has been a special teams demon for several
years and did start one game in 2001, where he played fairly well. He
will have his work cut out for him on Sunday, trying to track down
Fred Taylor.
If I were the Jaguars, I'd probably run plays to attack
Hendricks, seeing if I could isolate Fred Taylor or one of the
receivers on him.
Overall, as long as the Dolphins show up mentally and are
serious about this game, I don't see the Jaguars' offense being able
to do much against the Dolphins' defense. I think the Dolphins will
be able to hold Fred Taylor in check and keep Jimmy Smith from making
any big plays.
On special teams, the Jaguars have signed former Dolphin
punter Mark Royals to punt for them. In case you haven't heard, the
Jaguars' pro-bowl punter Chris Hanson injured himself with an Ax that
coach Jack Del Rio placed in the Jaguars locker room as a motivational
tool. That's even worse than that lobster trap that Dave Wannstedt
put up in the Dolphins locker room last year.
Having Royals punt for the Jaguars probably means good field
position for the Dolphins after punts, so special teams play should
favor Miami.
The bottom line this week is that the Dolphins should win this
game by a respectable margin, but I don't think it will be a blowout.
I think that the Jaguars will play Miami tough and will make a game
out of it, but I just don't see the Dolphins dropping this one.
PLACES TO WATCH:
To watch the game on TV, you may go to one of the sports bars on my
Places To Watch web page
To listen to the game live over the Internet, you must now pay
the NFL for the privelege. They are charging $9.95 (US) per month or
$34.95 for the season for something you used to get for free.
If you want to sign up for that, go to the following link: NFL Fieldpass
Also, here is a list of some websites that have live scores
and updates. Both the Dolphins Endzone and NFL.com have almost live
applications that run in your browser and give you current stats and
play-by-play information.
Related Info:
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