DOLPHINS: Dolphins vs Bills Preview
richiewohlers at gmail.com
Sat Oct 3 05:07:26 GMT 2009
Are you sure you're on the right list? Don't you know this is the "Dolphins
Doom & Gloom E-mail list" (me included)? hehe
What exactly are you "smokin"?
Just kidding - you make some fair points. We should be looking forward to
this game as a glimpse of a promising future at QB for the Dolphins.
On Fri, Oct 2, 2009 at 9:16 PM, Smokin <smokin3 at beyondbb.com> wrote:
> I honestly have to say I haven't been this excited about a Dolphin game in
> while. Yes, I'm one of the many who think Henne is going to be something
> special. Pennington was a good manager of the team, but that's not going
> take you to the promise land unless you have a Def like the Ravens when
> won it all a few years back.
> That being said...
> Let me start off by saying I think our O line is going to be the vital this
> I say we should run, run, and then run again until they start bringing
> safeties in to help stop our running game. Then we unleash the cannon
> as Henne's right arm.
> I think Ginn/Hartline will have big games with a TD each.
> I think T.O. is going to be huge for the Bills this game and wouldn't be
> surprised if he was targeted about 15 times.
> Their RB Fred Jackson scares the crap out of me out of the backfield.
> I see our rookie corner Sean Smith getting at least one pick this game.
> Even If Porter doesn't play, we NEED to put pressure on this QB to make him
> just get rid of the ball.
> Hopefully we'll have a few playmakers out there on Sunday.
> BTW, I love Crowder's enthusiasm, but I think he's a little too slow in the
> speed area and is a little slow seeing plays develop at many times during
> Just the way I see it...
> Can't wait to watch this one!
> -----Original Message-----
> From: dolphins-disc-bounces at phins.com
> [mailto:dolphins-disc-bounces at phins.com] On Behalf Of Michael Fischer
> Sent: Friday, October 02, 2009 5:15 PM
> To: Miami Dolphins Discussion
> Subject: Re: DOLPHINS: Dolphins vs Bills Preview
> Nice analysis, Curt.
> The only other reason to play a Pennington type offense is to control
> clock and keep the Buffalo offense on the bench. The Wildcat has one
> positive effect: It negates the loss of a starting QB.
> Of all the teams I saw in preseason, Buffalo was the worse. Let's see
> if the
> Dolphins can take advantage of that.
> On Oct 2, 2009, at 3:39 PM, Curt Fennell wrote:
> > GAME TIME: 4:05 PM EST on Sunday, Oct 4th. The game will be
> > broadcast regionally on CBS TV.
> > PLACE: Land Shark Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
> > WEATHER FORECAST: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms,
> > mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 87. Calm wind
> > becoming east between 7 and 10 mph.
> > FIELD CONDITIONS: The good news is that the Marlins are done playing
> > at home for the season, so the baseball diamond should be gone. The
> > bad news is that the Hurricanes are playing at Land Shark on Saturday,
> > so the field may be a little torn up.
> > STANDINGS & STATS: The Dolphins are 0-3 and at the bottom of the AFC
> > East, while the Bills are 1-2 and third in the AFC East.
> > Dolphins Pts/Game Rank Bills Pts/Game Rank
> > Scored 14.3 26 Scored 21.3 12
> > Allowed 23.0 22 Allowed 24.0 24
> > Dolphins Yds/Game Rank Bills Yds/Game Rank
> > Total Offense: 317 19 Total Defense: 391 28
> > Rushing: 161 3 vs Rush: 117 18
> > Passing: 156 30 vs Pass: 273 28
> > Bills Dolphins
> > Total Offense: 319 17 Total Defense: 331 17
> > Rushing: 132 9 vs Rush: 66 3
> > Passing: 187 24 vs Pass: 265 26
> > Sacks Made (Avg/G) Allowed (Avg/G)
> > Dolphins 5 1.7 7 2.3
> > Bills 5 1.7 10 3.3
> > Turnover differential:
> > Dolphins -6
> > Bills -1
> > Individual Skill Position Stats:
> > Dolphins
> > QB: QB Henne: 10-19-92-0-1-44.2
> > Rush: RB Brown: 52-254-4.9-2
> > Rush: RB Williams: 23-163-4.8-1
> > Rec: WR Bess: 17-140-8.2-0
> > Rec: WR Ginn,Jr: 13-134-10.3-0
> > Rec: RB Williams: 7-51-7.3-1
> > Bills
> > QB: QB Edwards: 56-91-598-4-2-86.2
> > Rush: RB Jackson: 61-291-4.8-0
> > Rush: QB Edwards: 7-62-8.9-0
> > Rec: RB Jackson: 15-134-8.9-1
> > Rec: WR Reed: 10-106-10.6-0
> > Rec: TE Schouman: 9-103-11.4-0
> > Legend
> > QBs: completions-attempts-yards-touchdowns-ints-rating
> > RBs: rushes-yards-average-touchdowns
> > WRs: receptions-yards-average-touchdowns
> > HISTORY: The Bills have won four of the past six meetings, but trail
> > the overall series, 52-37-1, including the playoffs. Last year, Miami
> > beat Buffalo both times, 25-16 in Miami and 16-3 in Toronto.
> > INJURIES: The following list is based on early reports and won't be
> > final until Sunday.
> > Dolphins:
> > DOUBTFUL: LB Joey Porter (Hamstring)
> > Bills:
> > DOUBTFUL: T Demetrius Bell (groin)
> > DT John McCargo (calf)
> > CB Leodis McKelvin (fibula)
> > LB Paul Posluszny (forearm)
> > S Bryan Scott (ankle)
> > S Donte Whitner (thumb)
> > QUESTIONABLE: DT Kyle Williams (groin)
> > PROBABLE: TE Shawn Nelson (shoulder)
> > DOLPHINS STARTERS:
> > Offense: Defense:
> > QB - 7 Chad Henne LE - 70 Kendall Langford
> > RB - 23 Ronnie Brown NT - 95 Jason Ferguson
> > FB - 39 Lousaka Polite RE - 94 Randy Starks
> > WR - 19 Ted Ginn,Jr SLB - 99 Jason Taylor
> > WR - 83 Greg Camarillo ILB - 51 Akin Ayodele
> > TE - 80 Anthony Fasano ILB - 52 Channing Crowder
> > LT - 77 Jake Long WLB - 56 Charlie Anderson
> > LG - 65 Justin Smiley LCB - 25 Will Allen
> > C - 64 Jake Grove RCB - 24 Sean Smith
> > RG - 66 Donald Thomas SS - 37 Yeremiah Bell
> > RT - 72 Vernon Carey FS - 28 Gibril Wilson
> > K - 5 Dan Carpenter P - 2 Brandon Fields
> > PR - 15 Davone Bess KR - 19 Ted Ginn,Jr
> > NOTES: Current reports say that Joey Porter is not practicing and may
> > not play. Hamstring injuries frequently take a long time to heal and
> > players often re-injure them.
> > BILLS STARTERS:
> > Offense: Defense:
> > QB - 5 Trent Edwards LDE - 90 Chris Kelsay
> > RB - 22 Fred Jackson LDT - 99 Marcus Stroud
> > FB - 38 Corey McIntyre RDT - 95 Kyle Williams
> > WR - 81 Terrell Owens RDE - 94 Aaron Schobel
> > WR - 83 Lee Evans SLB - 54 Keith Ellison
> > TE - 86 Derek Fine MLB - 51 Marcus Buggs
> > LT - 77 Demetrius Bell WLB - 59 Keith Mitchell
> > LG - 67 Andy Levitre RCB - 24 Terrence McGee
> > C - 63 Geoff Hangartner LCB - 29 Drayton Florence
> > RG - 70 Eric Wood SS - 43 Brian Scott
> > RT - 79 Jonathan Scott FS - 31 Jairus Byrd
> > K - 9 Rian Lindell P - 8 Brian Moorman
> > KR - 24 Terrence McGee PR - 11 Roscoe Parrish
> > NOTES: The Bills have a lot of injuries this week, so it's difficult
> > to know who will play. Both their starting safeties are banged up,
> > along with their starting left tackle and one of their defensive
> > linemen.
> > KEY MATCHUPS:
> > 1A. Dolphins vs Themselves: It's been quite a while since I've
> > had to list this as the main matchup, but this season, the Dolphins
> > have been killing themselves as much as being beaten by other
> > teams. The missed blocking assignments, blown coverages and dropped
> > passes must stop, or we will be looking at 2007 again.
> > 1B. Chad Henne vs Himself: Henne is making his first start.
> > Need I say more?
> > 2. Dolphins DBs vs Lee Evans and Terrell Owens: Owens has not
> > been a factor so far, but Evans has wrecked Dolphins' plans in the
> > past and Owens is till a very capable deep threat.
> > 3. Jason Taylor vs Bills' Left Tackle: Right now, it's not
> > clear who will start for the Bills at left tackle. Demetrius Bell,
> > their normal starter, has not practiced this week. His backup is Kirk
> > Chambers. So far the Bills have been pretty weak on pass defense.
> > 4. Ted Ginn,Jr vs Bills Defensive backs: Ginn has had a hard
> > time getting open, but the Bills have the 28th ranked pass defense in
> > the league. With a quarterback who has a much stronger arm, will Ginn
> > prosper?
> > PLAYERS TO WATCH:
> > Chad Henne is starting his first game as a pro. How he will
> > handles the pressure and how many mistakes he makes will go a long way
> > toward determining whether or not the Dolphins win. Ted Ginn caught
> > 11 passes two weeks ago and none last week and I think it's fair to
> > say that he's on the hot-seat right now. And Brian Hartline has been
> > showing flashes, but has also been making his share of rookie
> > mistakes.
> > On defense, Sean Smith and Will Allen get to try another test
> > when facing Terrell Owens and Lee Evans. The defensive line will and
> > Jason Taylor should have more opportunities to get to the quarterback
> > as the Bills' pass defense has been only average. If Joey Porter
> > doesn't play, Charlie Anderson will be standing in for him.
> > The Bills, despite having Lee Evans and Terrell Owens on the
> > roster, have been relying on the running and receiving of Fred Jackson
> > to carry their offense. They will be getting Marshawn Lynch back this
> > Sunday and since he was not injured, he should be ready to go.
> > The defense is anchored on the defensive line by Marcus Stroud
> > and Aaron Schobel. Schobel has had good games against the Dolphins
> > and has 2 sacks so far this year. LB Keith Ellison leads the team in
> > tackles, but their next two leading tacklers, safeties Bryan Scott and
> > Donte Whitner, are injured and may not play this Sunday. That will
> > put a lot of pressure on their backups, George Wilson and Jairus Byrd.
> > MY ANALYSIS:
> > Probably the single biggest key to victory for Miami this
> > Sunday will be the play of QB Chad Henne. If Henne can avoid mistakes
> > and do what the coaches ask of him on Sunday - whether that is
> > throwing short and managing the game or going long down the field and
> > making some big plays - the Dolphins stand a good chance of beating
> > the Bills.
> > It has been mentioned by several pundits that Henning will
> > pare down the offense, limiting the playbook so as not to give
> > too much to think about. My problem with this idea is that Henne has
> > been working on learning this offense for over a year and if he
> > doesn't understand it now, he will never understand it.
> > So what I hope will happen is that Henning will actually open
> > up the playbook a little more, throwing down the field to Ted Ginn
> > Brian Hartline on more deep routes - deep posts, slants and sideline
> > routes. Henne's arm strength is one of the areas where he has an
> > advantage over Pennington and it seems foolish to me not to make use
> > of that talent. Last week, the only touchdown that the Dolphins
> > was on a drive where they threw the ball down the field instead of
> > just taking the underneath stuff.
> > Also, it is unlikely that the Bills will be prepared for that
> > kind of a gameplan and it will take advantage of the Bills'
> > secondary. With their starting safeties both injured and possibly
> > playing, the opportunity for big plays should be there. And last
> > year, Ted Ginn, Jr had his biggest game against the Bills in Miami,
> > catching 7 passe for 175 yards.
> > This does not mean that the Dolphins shouldn't run, both from
> > the base formation and from the Wildcat, but the threat of the deep
> > pass can only make the running plays more effective. And with the
> > Bills ranked 28th in the NFL against the pass, the Dolphins may
> > get a better opportunity to throw down the field.
> > Unfortunately, what I think is more likely is that the
> > Dolphins will limit the playbook and ask Chad Henne to play like
> > Pennington, throwing short passes and managing the running game. The
> > Dolphins should be successful running the ball against the Bills,
> > but if that is their entire gameplan, they will be playing into the
> > Bills' strength on defense.
> > The Dolphins may also trot out some new wrinkles to the
> > Wildcat this week and Pat White may get more playing time if they do.
> > I don't think we'll see Tyler Thigpen, but if the Dolphins want to try
> > throwing from the Wildcat, then I believe that Pat White will get his
> > chance.
> > When the Bills have the ball, they will undoubtedly try to do
> > what every other team has done to Miami this year, so you can expect
> > lots of intermediate and deep throws to their receivers. Terrell
> > Owens has been relatively quiet this year, but he will almost
> > certainly have a bigger role this game. Owens, Lee Evans and Josh
> > Reed will see plenty of action this Sunday.
> > The Dolphins' defense will need to be much better than they
> > have been at deep coverage if they want to keep the Bills' offense in
> > check. Fortunately for Miami, the Bills do not have Phillip Rivers or
> > Peyton Manning as their quarterback and while Trent Edwards has been
> > playing well, he is not nearly the threat that Miami has faced over
> > the last 3 weeks.
> > Despite the dangerous receivers that they have, most of the
> > Bills' offense has come from Fred Jackson this year. And while I
> > don't think that the Dolphins will have serious trouble stopping the
> > Bills' running game, they will have to be careful about Fred Jackson
> > catching passes out of the backfield. Jackson is the Bills' leading
> > receiver as well as their leading rusher, so the Dolphins will need to
> > keep an eye on him.
> > The outcome of this game will probably rest on two factors -
> > the play of Chad Henne and the ability of the defense to cover the
> > Bills' receivers down the field. If Henne can avoid any big mistakes
> > and is allowed to use his arm strength and if the Dolphins' defense
> > can finally figure out a way to stop the big play, I think the
> > Dolphins will get their first win of the year.
> > PLACES TO WATCH:
> > To watch the game on TV, you may go to one of the sports bars
> > list on my "Places To Watch" web page at http://www.phins.com/
> > bars.php.
> > To listen to the game live over the Internet, you must pay
> > the NFL for the privilege. They are charging $9.95 (US) per month or
> > $39.95 for the season for something you used to get for free.
> > If you want to sign up for that, go to the following link:
> > http://www.real.com/nfl
> > Also, here is a list of some websites that have live scores
> > and updates. Both the Official Dolphins Website and NFL.com have
> > almost live applications that run in your browser and give you current
> > stats and play-by-play information.
> > Miami Dolphins Website: From the Game - Almost Live Play-by-Play
> > http://www.miamidolphins.com/newsite/news/fromthegame.asp
> > NFL.com: NFL Official Scoreboard
> > http://www.nfl.com/scores/
> > ESPN: Ascent Sportszone Scoreboard
> > http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/scoreboard
> > RELATED LINKS:
> > Miami Dolphins Website: Dolphins vs Bills
> > http://www.miamidolphins.com/newsite/news/pregamereport.asp
> > NFL.com: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
> > http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2009100408/2009/REG4/bills@dolphins
> > ESPNet Sportszone: Game Preview
> > http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/nflpreview?gameId=291004015
> > FoxSports: Preview
> > http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/gameTrax?gameId=20091004015
> > The Sporting News: Preview
> > http://www.sportingnews.com/nfl/matchup.php?game_id=20091004015
> > CBS Sports: Preview
> > http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/gamecenter/preview/NFL_20091004_BUF@MIA
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